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Marv's Tropical Weather Reports 
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above - Tropical Mess area
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above - Tropical mess yuck !
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Western Atlantic activity
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above - looking east

update - 2015-08-05 - this afternoon we are still watching the tropical development of the  Atlantic, Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico in the northern US Gulf Coast .. we now are also watching the central and eastern Atlantic to the tropical waves just off the western coast of Africa ..

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Atlantic, Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico ..

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Invest 95-L - is merging with a frontal system and is currently located offshore of the US Mid-Atlantic coast .. this entire system is expected to track northeastward today into Thursday out into the open Atlantic with no development expected ..

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western Atlantic - the model guidance are fairly unanimous in forecasting that a low pressure system along the Virginia and North Carolina coasts on Friday and Friday night and track northeastward fairly far offshore of the coast of New England this weekend .. this low pressure system is forecast to be non-tropical in nature, but will still bring gusty winds and some rainfall to the US Mid-Atlantic coast on Friday and perhaps some rainfall and gusty winds to the outer part of Cape Cod and Nantucket this weekend ..

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the reason why we are mentioning this is because we noticed the model guidance are hinting that a trough of low pressure may be left behind near the coast from North Carolina to northeast Florida around Sunday and Monday night and then near Cape Cod on Tuesday afternoon and Tuesday evening ..

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bottom line - it is more than likely nothing will develop out of any trough of low pressure that is left near the US Southeast coast, but given this is the type of weather pattern setup that could lead to tropical development it is something that needs to be watched in case we do see any spin up type systems ..

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looking ahead - central and eastern Atlantic .. there is a very active tropical wave is located to the south-southeast of the Cape Verde Islands in the far eastern Atlantic this afternoon .. this is the tropical wave that the GFS model was spinning up into a tropical cyclone a few days ago .. since then, all of the model guidance have dropped the idea of tropical development from this tropical wave .. the latest satellite imagery indicates that this tropical wave is well defined with a cyclonic circulation evident .. water vapor imagery indicates that this tropical wave has a better field of moisture than previous tropical waves so far this season .. in addition there is favorable wind shear conditions around this tropical wave .. even though there are currently favorable environmental conditions around this tropical wave, it has a very rough road ahead in terms of tropical development chances ..

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bottom line - as the tropical wave to the south-southeast of the Cape Verde Islands tracks westward late this week into this weekend, it will encounter increasingly cooler sea surface temperatures, quite a bit of dry air and a increasingly more hostile environment for development .. so, my thought are that significant tropical development is not expected from this tropical wave and that it will become much less defined the further west it tracks ..

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above - looking to the east .. the above image is live time ..
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note - Madden-Julian Oscillation - is a term that has been around for quite some time and used in a lot of our tropical weather dialog .. this is a good definition .. the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) is the major fluctuation in tropical weather on weekly to monthly timescales .. the MJO can be characterized as an eastward moving 'pulse' of cloud and rainfall near the equator that typically recurs every 30 to 60 days
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update - 2015-04-11    note - this is the link to our 2015 Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast
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initially we began our daily reports with a small group of like-minded cruisers but strictly thru word-of-mouth our 'renown and fame' with the relative ease of use and accuracy of the reports has led to the point where we now maintain names and addresses of well over 1000 boaters and non boaters on our email list ..
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Carol and Marv Market
M/V Dee Light
Box 1628
Fort Myers, FL 33902-1628
Marv (cell) (239) 560-1166
Carol (cell) (239) 560-3876
Bahamas (cell) - 242-431-0719

eMail address: marvboater1@aol.com
website -
www.DeeLightWebsite.com
Home Port
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2044 West First Street
Fort Myers, FL 33901
phone (239) 461-0775
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website - www.legacyharbourmarina.com
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